?
New York Red Bulls crestNew York Red BullsvsCharlotte FC crestCharlotte FC

New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerSat, 25 Jul 2026 22:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: New York Red Bulls 02 Charlotte FC

Tofiko prediction

Model backs New York Red Bulls40%

New York Red Bulls 40%
Draw 24%
Charlotte FC 36%
  • New York Red Bulls 40%
  • Draw 24%
  • Charlotte FC 36%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick New York Red Bulls, rating it at 40.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and New York Red Bulls won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

New York Red Bulls: LLWDW

Charlotte FC: WDWWL

Head-to-head

  • 3Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-25New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC0–2
2025-08-24Charlotte FC vs New York Red Bulls1–0
2025-05-28New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC4–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC?
Tofiko's model favours New York Red Bulls (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC kick off?
Sat, 25 Jul 2026 22:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.