New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSat, 25 Jul 2026 22:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: New York Red Bulls 0–2 Charlotte FC
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York Red Bulls40%
- New York Red Bulls 40%
- Draw 24%
- Charlotte FC 36%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick New York Red Bulls, rating it at 40.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and New York Red Bulls won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
New York Red Bulls: LLWDW
Charlotte FC: WDWWL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC | 0–2 |
| 2025-08-24 | Charlotte FC vs New York Red Bulls | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-28 | New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC | 4–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC?
- Tofiko's model favours New York Red Bulls (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC kick off?
- Sat, 25 Jul 2026 22:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.