Charlotte FC crestCharlotte FCvsPhiladelphia Union crestPhiladelphia Union

Charlotte FC 2-0 Philadelphia Union — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 18 Oct 2025 22:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Charlotte FC38%

Tofiko38% / 26% / 36%
Market37% / 25% / 38%
  • Charlotte FC
  • Draw
  • Philadelphia Union

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Charlotte FC, rating it at 37.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Charlotte FC won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Philadelphia Union's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Charlotte FC's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 3 Oct 2026.

Charlotte FC: LWDWD

Philadelphia Union: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 3 Oct 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-10-18Charlotte FC vs Philadelphia Union2–0
2025-06-14Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Charlotte FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Tofiko's model favours Charlotte FC (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Charlotte FC vs Philadelphia Union kick off?
Sat, 18 Oct 2025 22:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the Charlotte FC vs Philadelphia Union head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixturePhiladelphia Union vs Charlotte17 Oct 2026 →