Philadelphia Unionvs
Charlotte FCPhiladelphia Union vs Charlotte FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSat, 17 Oct 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union48%
- Philadelphia Union 48%
- Draw 24%
- Charlotte FC 28%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 48.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Philadelphia Union won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Philadelphia Union's last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Charlotte FC's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Philadelphia Union: WWLDL
Charlotte FC: WDWWL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-18 | Charlotte FC vs Philadelphia Union | 2–0 |
| 2025-06-14 | Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 18:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.