Charlotte FCvs
Toronto FCCharlotte FC 2-0 Toronto FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 26 Jul 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Charlotte FC53%
- Charlotte FC 53%
- Draw 26%
- Toronto FC 21%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Charlotte FC, rating it at 52.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Charlotte FC won 3 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Toronto FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 10 Sep 2026.
Charlotte FC: WDWWD
Toronto FC: WDDWD
Head-to-head
As of 10 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Toronto FC vs Charlotte FC | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-16 | Charlotte FC vs Toronto FC | 3–1 |
| 2025-07-26 | Charlotte FC vs Toronto FC | 2–0 |
| 2025-05-31 | Toronto FC vs Charlotte FC | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Charlotte FC vs Toronto FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Charlotte FC (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Charlotte FC vs Toronto FC kick off?
- Sat, 26 Jul 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Charlotte FC vs Toronto FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.