Toronto FC 3-3 Charlotte FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerWed, 19 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Charlotte FC42%
Tofiko32% / 26% / 42%
Market41% / 25% / 34%
- Toronto FC
- Draw
- Charlotte FC
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Charlotte FC, rating it at 42.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Toronto FC won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Toronto FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026.
Toronto FC: LLLWD
Charlotte FC: LWDWD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Toronto FC vs Charlotte FC | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-16 | Charlotte FC vs Toronto FC | 3–1 |
| 2025-07-26 | Charlotte FC vs Toronto FC | 2–0 |
| 2025-05-31 | Toronto FC vs Charlotte FC | 0–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Toronto FC vs Charlotte FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Charlotte FC (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Toronto FC vs Charlotte FC kick off?
- Wed, 19 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Toronto FC vs Charlotte FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.