CF Montrealvs
Chicago FireCF Montreal 0-2 Chicago Fire — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 19 Jul 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chicago Fire51%
- CF Montreal 28%
- Draw 21%
- Chicago Fire 51%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chicago Fire, rating it at 50.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and CF Montreal won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
CF Montreal: DWDDL
Chicago Fire: DWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire | 0–2 |
| 2025-07-19 | CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire | 0–2 |
| 2025-03-30 | Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire?
- Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire kick off?
- Sat, 19 Jul 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.