Chicago Firevs
Inter Miami CFChicago Fire vs Inter Miami CF Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerThu, 10 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Inter Miami CF41%
- Chicago Fire 40%
- Draw 19%
- Inter Miami CF 41%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Inter Miami CF, rating it at 40.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Chicago Fire won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Inter Miami CF's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Chicago Fire's 5 produced 18, at 3.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 19.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Inter Miami CF's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Chicago Fire: LLWWW
Inter Miami CF: WWWWW
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 4.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Inter Miami CF vs Chicago Fire | 3–2 |
| 2025-09-30 | Inter Miami CF vs Chicago Fire | 3–5 |
| 2025-04-13 | Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami CF | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Inter Miami CF (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami CF kick off?
- Thu, 10 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.