Chicago Firevs
Inter Miami CFChicago Fire 1-1 Inter Miami CF — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerThu, 10 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chicago Fire40%
- Chicago Fire 40%
- Draw 21%
- Inter Miami CF 39%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Chicago Fire, rating it at 40.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Chicago Fire won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 20.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Inter Miami CF's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
Chicago Fire: DDDLD
Inter Miami CF: DDWLD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.75Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami CF | 1–1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Inter Miami CF vs Chicago Fire | 3–2 |
| 2025-09-30 | Inter Miami CF vs Chicago Fire | 3–5 |
| 2025-04-13 | Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami CF | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami CF kick off?
- Thu, 10 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.75 goals per game.