Chicago Firevs
Inter Miami CFChicago Fire vs Inter Miami CF Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerThu, 10 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Inter Miami CF41%
- Chicago Fire 40%
- Draw 19%
- Inter Miami CF 41%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Inter Miami CF, rating it at 40.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Chicago Fire won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Inter Miami CF's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Chicago Fire's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 19.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Inter Miami CF's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Chicago Fire: DWWWW
Inter Miami CF: DLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 4.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Inter Miami CF vs Chicago Fire | 3–2 |
| 2025-09-30 | Inter Miami CF vs Chicago Fire | 3–5 |
| 2025-04-13 | Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami CF | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Inter Miami CF (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami CF kick off?
- Thu, 10 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.