Inter Miami CF crestInter Miami CFvsChicago Fire crestChicago Fire

Inter Miami CF 3-2 Chicago Fire — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerWed, 22 Jul 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Inter Miami CF59%

  • Inter Miami CF 59%
  • Draw 18%
  • Chicago Fire 23%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Inter Miami CF, rating it at 59.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Inter Miami CF won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 59.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 17.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Inter Miami CF's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 11 Sep 2026.

Inter Miami CF: DDWLD

Chicago Fire: DDDLD

Head-to-head

As of 11 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 3.75Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-10Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami CF1–1
2026-07-22Inter Miami CF vs Chicago Fire3–2
2025-09-30Inter Miami CF vs Chicago Fire3–5
2025-04-13Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami CF0–0

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FAQ

Who will win Inter Miami CF vs Chicago Fire?
Tofiko's model favours Inter Miami CF (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Inter Miami CF vs Chicago Fire kick off?
Wed, 22 Jul 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Inter Miami CF vs Chicago Fire head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.75 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legChicago Fire 1-1 Inter Miami10 Sept 2026 →