Chicago Firevs
Los Angeles FCChicago Fire 2-2 Los Angeles FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 10 Aug 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chicago Fire41%
- Chicago Fire 41%
- Draw 22%
- Los Angeles FC 38%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Chicago Fire, rating it at 40.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Chicago Fire did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Chicago Fire's last 5 produced 15 goals — 3.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Los Angeles FC's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Chicago Fire: DWWWW
Los Angeles FC: DLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-10 | Chicago Fire vs Los Angeles FC | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chicago Fire vs Los Angeles FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Chicago Fire vs Los Angeles FC kick off?
- Sun, 10 Aug 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Chicago Fire vs Los Angeles FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.