Chicago Firevs
New England RevolutionChicago Fire vs New England Revolution Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 13 Sep 2026 22:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chicago Fire56%
- Chicago Fire 56%
- Draw 22%
- New England Revolution 22%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Chicago Fire, rating it at 56.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Chicago Fire won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 56.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Chicago Fire: LLWWW
New England Revolution: WDLWL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-18 | New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire | 2–2 |
| 2025-09-07 | Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution | 3–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution?
- Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution kick off?
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 22:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.