New England Revolutionvs
Chicago FireNew England Revolution vs Chicago Fire Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 17 Oct 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chicago Fire39%
- New England Revolution 38%
- Draw 23%
- Chicago Fire 39%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Chicago Fire, rating it at 39.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and New England Revolution won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 37 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
New England Revolution: WLWDW
Chicago Fire: DDDLD
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 37 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-18 | New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire | 2–2 |
| 2025-09-07 | Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution | 3–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
- Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.