Chicago Firevs
New England RevolutionChicago Fire vs New England Revolution Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 13 Sep 2026 22:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chicago Fire56%
- Chicago Fire 56%
- Draw 22%
- New England Revolution 22%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Chicago Fire, rating it at 56.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Chicago Fire won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 56.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 22 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Chicago Fire: DWWWW
New England Revolution: WLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 22 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-18 | New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire | 2–2 |
| 2025-09-07 | Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution | 3–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution?
- Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution kick off?
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 22:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.