Chicago Firevs
San Diego FCChicago Fire 1-2 San Diego FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 13 Jul 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chicago Fire41%
- Chicago Fire 41%
- Draw 22%
- San Diego FC 38%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Chicago Fire, rating it at 40.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Chicago Fire did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Chicago Fire: DWWWW
San Diego FC: WLWWW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-13 | Chicago Fire vs San Diego FC | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chicago Fire vs San Diego FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Chicago Fire vs San Diego FC kick off?
- Sun, 13 Jul 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Chicago Fire vs San Diego FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.