Chicago Fire crestChicago FirevsSaint Louis City crestSaint Louis City

Chicago Fire 3-2 Saint Louis City — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 17 Aug 2025 02:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Chicago Fire62%

Tofiko62% / 19% / 18%
  • Chicago Fire
  • Draw
  • Saint Louis City

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Chicago Fire, rating it at 62.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Chicago Fire won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • Saint Louis City's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 4 Oct 2026.

Chicago Fire: WLLDD

Saint Louis City: WWWWD

Head-to-head

As of 4 Oct 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-30Chicago Fire vs Saint Louis City1–2
2025-08-17Chicago Fire vs Saint Louis City3–2

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FAQ

Who will win Chicago Fire vs Saint Louis City?
Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Chicago Fire vs Saint Louis City kick off?
Sun, 17 Aug 2025 02:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the Chicago Fire vs Saint Louis City head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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