Columbus Crew 2-1 FC Cincinnati — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 25 Jul 2026 23:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Cincinnati40%
- Columbus Crew
- Draw
- FC Cincinnati
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 40.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Columbus Crew won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. FC Cincinnati's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Columbus Crew's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- FC Cincinnati's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026.
Columbus Crew: WWWLL
FC Cincinnati: LDDLL
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati | 2–1 |
| 2025-07-13 | FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew | 2–4 |
| 2025-05-17 | Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati kick off?
- Sat, 25 Jul 2026 23:15 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.