Columbus Crew crestColumbus CrewvsFC Cincinnati crestFC Cincinnati

Columbus Crew 2-1 FC Cincinnati — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSat, 25 Jul 2026 23:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Cincinnati40%

Tofiko37% / 23% / 40%
Market43% / 24% / 32%
  • Columbus Crew
  • Draw
  • FC Cincinnati

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 40.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Columbus Crew won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. FC Cincinnati's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Columbus Crew's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
  • FC Cincinnati's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 3 Oct 2026.

Columbus Crew: WWWLL

FC Cincinnati: LDDLL

Head-to-head

As of 3 Oct 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.67Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-25Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati2–1
2025-07-13FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew2–4
2025-05-17Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati?
Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati kick off?
Sat, 25 Jul 2026 23:15 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureFC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew18 Oct 2026 →