Columbus Crewvs
FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew 2-1 FC Cincinnati — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 25 Jul 2026 23:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Cincinnati40%
- Columbus Crew 37%
- Draw 23%
- FC Cincinnati 40%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 40.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Columbus Crew won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Columbus Crew: LWLLL
FC Cincinnati: LLDWD
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati | 2–1 |
| 2025-07-13 | FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew | 2–4 |
| 2025-05-17 | Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati kick off?
- Sat, 25 Jul 2026 23:15 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.