FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 18 Oct 2026 23:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Cincinnati54%
- FC Cincinnati 54%
- Draw 22%
- Columbus Crew 24%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 54.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and FC Cincinnati won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 56 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Cincinnati: DWDLW
Columbus Crew: LLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 56 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati | 2–1 |
| 2025-07-13 | FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew | 2–4 |
| 2025-05-17 | Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew kick off?
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 23:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.