FC Cincinnativs
Columbus CrewFC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 18 Oct 2026 23:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Cincinnati54%
- FC Cincinnati 54%
- Draw 22%
- Columbus Crew 24%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 54.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and FC Cincinnati won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Cincinnati's last 5 produced 28 goals — 5.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Columbus Crew's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- FC Cincinnati's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Cincinnati: LWWWD
Columbus Crew: WLDWW
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati | 2–1 |
| 2025-07-13 | FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew | 2–4 |
| 2025-05-17 | Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew kick off?
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 23:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.