FC Cincinnati crestFC CincinnativsColumbus Crew crestColumbus Crew

FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSun, 18 Oct 2026 23:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Cincinnati54%

Tofiko54% / 22% / 24%
  • FC Cincinnati
  • Draw
  • Columbus Crew

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 54.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and FC Cincinnati won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. FC Cincinnati's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Columbus Crew's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
  • FC Cincinnati's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 2 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 16 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

FC Cincinnati: LDDLL

Columbus Crew: WWWLL

Head-to-head

As of 2 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 16 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 3.67Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-25Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati2–1
2025-07-13FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew2–4
2025-05-17Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati1–1

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FAQ

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew?
Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew kick off?
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 23:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legColumbus Crew 2-1 FC Cincinnati25 Jul 2026 →