Columbus Crewvs
New York City FCColumbus Crew vs New York City FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerWed, 22 Jul 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Columbus Crew 1–2 New York City FC
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Columbus Crew44%
- Columbus Crew 44%
- Draw 25%
- New York City FC 31%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Columbus Crew, rating it at 44.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 5 times, and Columbus Crew won 1 of 5, with 1 drawn. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Columbus Crew: WLDWW
New York City FC: DWWLL
Head-to-head
- 5Games
- 2.40Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Columbus Crew vs New York City FC | 1–2 |
| 2026-05-20 | Columbus Crew vs New York City FC | 1–0 |
| 2026-05-10 | New York City FC vs Columbus Crew | 3–0 |
| 2025-09-17 | New York City FC vs Columbus Crew | 3–2 |
| 2025-03-22 | Columbus Crew vs New York City FC | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Columbus Crew (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Columbus Crew vs New York City FC kick off?
- Wed, 22 Jul 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Columbus Crew vs New York City FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 5 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.40 goals per game.