New York City FC crestNew York City FCvsColumbus Crew crestColumbus Crew

New York City FC 3-2 Columbus Crew — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Wed, 17 Sep 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs New York City FC47%

Tofiko47% / 25% / 28%
Market40% / 26% / 34%
  • New York City FC
  • Draw
  • Columbus Crew

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick New York City FC, rating it at 47.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 5 times, and New York City FC won 3 of 5, with 1 drawn. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 3 Oct 2026.

New York City FC: DLWLD

Columbus Crew: WWWLL

Head-to-head

As of 3 Oct 2026.

  • 5Games
  • 2.40Avg goals
  • 40%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-22Columbus Crew vs New York City FC1–2
2026-05-20Columbus Crew vs New York City FC1–0
2026-05-10New York City FC vs Columbus Crew3–0
2025-09-17New York City FC vs Columbus Crew3–2
2025-03-22Columbus Crew vs New York City FC0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win New York City FC vs Columbus Crew?
Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does New York City FC vs Columbus Crew kick off?
Wed, 17 Sep 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the New York City FC vs Columbus Crew head-to-head record?
In their last 5 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.40 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legColumbus Crew 1-2 New York City FC22 Jul 2026 →