Columbus Crew crestColumbus CrewvsPhiladelphia Union crestPhiladelphia Union

Columbus Crew 1-0 Philadelphia Union — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 29 Jun 2025 22:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Philadelphia Union39%

Tofiko35% / 25% / 39%
Market48% / 25% / 26%
  • Columbus Crew
  • Draw
  • Philadelphia Union

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Philadelphia Union, rating it at 39.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Columbus Crew won 2 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Philadelphia Union's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Columbus Crew's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 5 Oct 2026.

Columbus Crew: WWWLL

Philadelphia Union: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Oct 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.25Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-16Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew1–1
2026-04-25Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union2–0
2025-06-29Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union1–0
2025-05-10Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union?
Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union kick off?
Sun, 29 Jun 2025 22:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legPhiladelphia Union 2-2 Columbus Crew10 May 2025 →