Columbus Crewvs
Philadelphia UnionColumbus Crew 1-0 Philadelphia Union — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 29 Jun 2025 22:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union39%
- Columbus Crew 35%
- Draw 25%
- Philadelphia Union 39%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Philadelphia Union, rating it at 39.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Columbus Crew won 2 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Columbus Crew: LLLDW
Philadelphia Union: DDWLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew | 1–1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union | 2–0 |
| 2025-06-29 | Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-10 | Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union kick off?
- Sun, 29 Jun 2025 22:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.