Philadelphia Union crestPhiladelphia UnionvsColumbus Crew crestColumbus Crew

Philadelphia Union 2-2 Columbus Crew — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 10 May 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Philadelphia Union55%

Tofiko55% / 24% / 22%
Market40% / 27% / 33%
  • Philadelphia Union
  • Draw
  • Columbus Crew

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 54.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Philadelphia Union won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Philadelphia Union's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Columbus Crew's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 5 Oct 2026.

Philadelphia Union: WWWWW

Columbus Crew: WWWLL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Oct 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.25Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-16Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew1–1
2026-04-25Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union2–0
2025-06-29Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union1–0
2025-05-10Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?
Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew kick off?
Sat, 10 May 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legColumbus Crew 1-0 Philadelphia Union29 Jun 2025 →