Philadelphia Union 2-2 Columbus Crew — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 10 May 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union55%
- Philadelphia Union
- Draw
- Columbus Crew
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 54.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Philadelphia Union won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Philadelphia Union's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Columbus Crew's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 5 Oct 2026.
Philadelphia Union: WWWWW
Columbus Crew: WWWLL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew | 1–1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union | 2–0 |
| 2025-06-29 | Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-10 | Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew kick off?
- Sat, 10 May 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.