D.C. Unitedvs
Orlando CityD.C. United 1-1 Orlando City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 13 Sep 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Orlando City57%
- D.C. United 22%
- Draw 21%
- Orlando City 57%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Orlando City, rating it at 57.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and D.C. United won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 20.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
D.C. United: WDLLD
Orlando City: WWDWL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | D.C. United vs Orlando City | 3–2 |
| 2025-09-13 | D.C. United vs Orlando City | 1–1 |
| 2025-03-22 | Orlando City vs D.C. United | 4–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win D.C. United vs Orlando City?
- Tofiko's model favours Orlando City (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does D.C. United vs Orlando City kick off?
- Sat, 13 Sep 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the D.C. United vs Orlando City head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.