Orlando Cityvs
D.C. UnitedOrlando City vs D.C. United Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 17 Oct 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Orlando City65%
- Orlando City 65%
- Draw 18%
- D.C. United 16%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Orlando City, rating it at 65.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Orlando City won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 65.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 18.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 56 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Orlando City: WLDDL
D.C. United: LLDDW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 56 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | D.C. United vs Orlando City | 3–2 |
| 2025-09-13 | D.C. United vs Orlando City | 1–1 |
| 2025-03-22 | Orlando City vs D.C. United | 4–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Orlando City vs D.C. United?
- Tofiko's model favours Orlando City (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Orlando City vs D.C. United kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Orlando City vs D.C. United head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.