D.C. Unitedvs
Sporting Kansas CityD.C. United 2-1 Sporting Kansas City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 09 Mar 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs D.C. United39%
Tofiko39% / 24% / 36%
- D.C. United
- Draw
- Sporting Kansas City
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks D.C. United, rating it at 39.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and D.C. United won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Sporting Kansas City's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. D.C. United's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Sporting Kansas City's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 7 Oct 2026.
D.C. United: LDLDW
Sporting Kansas City: LWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 7 Oct 2026.
- 1Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-09 | D.C. United vs Sporting Kansas City | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win D.C. United vs Sporting Kansas City?
- Tofiko's model favours D.C. United (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does D.C. United vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?
- Sun, 09 Mar 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the D.C. United vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.