D.C. Unitedvs
Sporting Kansas CityD.C. United 2-1 Sporting Kansas City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 09 Mar 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs D.C. United39%
- D.C. United 39%
- Draw 24%
- Sporting Kansas City 36%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks D.C. United, rating it at 39.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and D.C. United won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 24 Aug 2026.
D.C. United: LLDDW
Sporting Kansas City: DLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 24 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-09 | D.C. United vs Sporting Kansas City | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win D.C. United vs Sporting Kansas City?
- Tofiko's model favours D.C. United (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does D.C. United vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?
- Sun, 09 Mar 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the D.C. United vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.