FC Cincinnativs
Chicago FireFC Cincinnati 2-1 Chicago Fire — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 05 Jul 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Cincinnati51%
Tofiko51% / 22% / 27%
Market59% / 21% / 21%
- FC Cincinnati
- Draw
- Chicago Fire
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 50.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC Cincinnati won 3 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- FC Cincinnati's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 5 Oct 2026.
FC Cincinnati: LDDLL
Chicago Fire: WLLDD
Head-to-head
As of 5 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 4.75Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati | 2–3 |
| 2026-04-17 | FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire | 3–3 |
| 2025-07-05 | FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire | 2–1 |
| 2025-04-20 | Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati | 2–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire kick off?
- Sat, 05 Jul 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.75 goals per game.