FC Cincinnativs
Chicago FireFC Cincinnati 2-1 Chicago Fire — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 05 Jul 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Cincinnati51%
- FC Cincinnati 51%
- Draw 22%
- Chicago Fire 27%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 50.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC Cincinnati won 3 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
FC Cincinnati: DWDLW
Chicago Fire: DWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 4Games
- 4.75Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati | 2–3 |
| 2026-04-17 | FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire | 3–3 |
| 2025-07-05 | FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire | 2–1 |
| 2025-04-20 | Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati | 2–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire kick off?
- Sat, 05 Jul 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.75 goals per game.