Chicago Firevs
FC CincinnatiChicago Fire 2-3 FC Cincinnati — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 20 Apr 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chicago Fire43%
Tofiko43% / 23% / 34%
- Chicago Fire
- Draw
- FC Cincinnati
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chicago Fire, rating it at 42.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Chicago Fire won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- FC Cincinnati's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 5 Oct 2026.
Chicago Fire: WLLDD
FC Cincinnati: LDDLL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 4.75Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati | 2–3 |
| 2026-04-17 | FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire | 3–3 |
| 2025-07-05 | FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire | 2–1 |
| 2025-04-20 | Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati | 2–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?
- Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati kick off?
- Sun, 20 Apr 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.75 goals per game.