New York Red Bullsvs
Toronto FCNew York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 17 Oct 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York Red Bulls50%
- New York Red Bulls 50%
- Draw 25%
- Toronto FC 25%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick New York Red Bulls, rating it at 50.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and New York Red Bulls won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 55 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
New York Red Bulls: DLLWL
Toronto FC: WDWDL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 55 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-25 | Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls | 1–1 |
| 2025-03-22 | New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?
- Tofiko's model favours New York Red Bulls (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.