New York Red Bullsvs
Toronto FCNew York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 17 Oct 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York Red Bulls50%
- New York Red Bulls
- Draw
- Toronto FC
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Analysis
Both model families pick New York Red Bulls, rating it at 50.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and New York Red Bulls won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Toronto FC's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. New York Red Bulls's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Toronto FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 2 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 15 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
New York Red Bulls: LWWLD
Toronto FC: LLLWD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 15 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-25 | Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls | 1–1 |
| 2025-03-22 | New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?
- Tofiko's model favours New York Red Bulls (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.