New York Red Bullsvs
Toronto FCNew York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSat, 17 Oct 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York Red Bulls50%
- New York Red Bulls 50%
- Draw 25%
- Toronto FC 25%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick New York Red Bulls, rating it at 50.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and New York Red Bulls won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. New York Red Bulls's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Toronto FC's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
New York Red Bulls: LLWDW
Toronto FC: DLDDL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-25 | Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls | 1–1 |
| 2025-03-22 | New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC?
- Tofiko's model favours New York Red Bulls (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.