FC Cincinnativs
New York City FCFC Cincinnati 2-1 New York City FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerWed, 19 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Cincinnati54%
- FC Cincinnati
- Draw
- New York City FC
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 54.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC Cincinnati won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. FC Cincinnati's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. New York City FC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- FC Cincinnati's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 2 Oct 2026.
FC Cincinnati: LDDLL
New York City FC: DLWLD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC | 2–1 |
| 2026-04-21 | New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati | 4–4 |
| 2025-08-23 | FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC | 0–1 |
| 2025-05-04 | New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC kick off?
- Wed, 19 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.