FC Cincinnativs
New York City FCFC Cincinnati 2-1 New York City FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerWed, 19 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Cincinnati54%
- FC Cincinnati 54%
- Draw 24%
- New York City FC 22%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 54.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC Cincinnati won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
FC Cincinnati: DWDLW
New York City FC: LLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC | 2–1 |
| 2026-04-21 | New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati | 4–4 |
| 2025-08-23 | FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC | 0–1 |
| 2025-05-04 | New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC kick off?
- Wed, 19 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.