New York City FCvs
FC CincinnatiNew York City FC 1-0 FC Cincinnati — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 04 May 2025 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York City FC41%
- New York City FC
- Draw
- FC Cincinnati
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick New York City FC, rating it at 41.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and New York City FC won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. FC Cincinnati's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. New York City FC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- FC Cincinnati's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026.
New York City FC: DLWLD
FC Cincinnati: LDDLL
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC | 2–1 |
| 2026-04-21 | New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati | 4–4 |
| 2025-08-23 | FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC | 0–1 |
| 2025-05-04 | New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati?
- Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati kick off?
- Sun, 04 May 2025 19:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.