FC Cincinnativs
Orlando CityFC Cincinnati 1-1 Orlando City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 28 Sep 2025 23:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Cincinnati49%
- FC Cincinnati 49%
- Draw 24%
- Orlando City 28%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 48.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC Cincinnati won 2 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
FC Cincinnati: LLDWD
Orlando City: WWDWL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.75Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati | 1–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City | 6–2 |
| 2025-09-28 | FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City | 1–1 |
| 2025-06-28 | Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City kick off?
- Sun, 28 Sep 2025 23:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.75 goals per game.