Orlando Cityvs
FC CincinnatiOrlando City 1-1 FC Cincinnati — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 15 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Orlando City44%
- Orlando City 44%
- Draw 23%
- FC Cincinnati 33%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Orlando City, rating it at 44.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Orlando City won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Orlando City: WLDDL
FC Cincinnati: DWDLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.75Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati | 1–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City | 6–2 |
| 2025-09-28 | FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City | 1–1 |
| 2025-06-28 | Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati?
- Tofiko's model favours Orlando City (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati kick off?
- Sat, 15 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.75 goals per game.