Orlando City 1-1 FC Cincinnati — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 15 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Orlando City44%
Tofiko44% / 23% / 33%
Market42% / 22% / 36%
- Orlando City
- Draw
- FC Cincinnati
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Orlando City, rating it at 44.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Orlando City won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Orlando City's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 2 Oct 2026.
Orlando City: LLLWW
FC Cincinnati: LDDLL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.75Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati | 1–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City | 6–2 |
| 2025-09-28 | FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City | 1–1 |
| 2025-06-28 | Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati?
- Tofiko's model favours Orlando City (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati kick off?
- Sat, 15 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.75 goals per game.