FC Dallasvs
New York City FCFC Dallas 3-4 New York City FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 26 Jul 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Dallas38%
- FC Dallas 38%
- Draw 25%
- New York City FC 38%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks FC Dallas, rating it at 37.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and FC Dallas did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 37.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- FC Dallas's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
FC Dallas: LWWLW
New York City FC: LLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 7.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-26 | FC Dallas vs New York City FC | 3–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Dallas vs New York City FC?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Dallas (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does FC Dallas vs New York City FC kick off?
- Sat, 26 Jul 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the FC Dallas vs New York City FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 7.00 goals per game.