Portland Timbersvs
FC DallasPortland Timbers 2-2 FC Dallas — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerThu, 23 Jul 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Portland Timbers44%
- Portland Timbers 44%
- Draw 24%
- FC Dallas 32%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Portland Timbers, rating it at 44.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Portland Timbers won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- FC Dallas's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
Portland Timbers: DWLDW
FC Dallas: WWDLW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas | 2–2 |
| 2025-09-28 | Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas | 2–2 |
| 2025-08-10 | FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas?
- Tofiko's model favours Portland Timbers (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas kick off?
- Thu, 23 Jul 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.