FC Dallasvs
San Jose EarthquakesFC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 25 Oct 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Dallas47%
- FC Dallas 47%
- Draw 21%
- San Jose Earthquakes 31%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Dallas, rating it at 47.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and FC Dallas won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Dallas's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 63 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Dallas: LWWLW
San Jose Earthquakes: LLLLD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 63 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 5.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas | 2–3 |
| 2025-07-17 | San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas | 2–2 |
| 2025-06-26 | FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes | 2–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Dallas (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.