FC Dallasvs
Saint Louis CityFC Dallas 0-0 Saint Louis City — Result, H2H & Form
USA MLSFri, 10 Apr 2026 22:12 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Dallas53%
- FC Dallas 53%
- Draw 23%
- Saint Louis City 24%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Dallas, rating it at 52.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC Dallas won 1 of 4, with 3 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Dallas's last 5 produced 28 goals — 5.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Saint Louis City's 5 produced 19, at 3.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Dallas's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 10 Sep 2026.
FC Dallas: WWDLW
Saint Louis City: DWDWD
Head-to-head
As of 10 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Saint Louis City vs FC Dallas | 3–3 |
| 2026-04-10 | FC Dallas vs Saint Louis City | 0–0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Saint Louis City vs FC Dallas | 1–1 |
| 2025-07-20 | FC Dallas vs Saint Louis City | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Dallas vs Saint Louis City?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Dallas (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Dallas vs Saint Louis City kick off?
- Fri, 10 Apr 2026 22:12 GMT — USA MLS.
- What is the FC Dallas vs Saint Louis City head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 3 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.