Saint Louis Cityvs
FC DallasSaint Louis City vs FC Dallas Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 30 Aug 2026 23:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Saint Louis City38%
- Saint Louis City 38%
- Draw 24%
- FC Dallas 38%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Saint Louis City, rating it at 38.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Saint Louis City won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Saint Louis City: WWWWD
FC Dallas: LDWWL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | FC Dallas vs Saint Louis City | 0–0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Saint Louis City vs FC Dallas | 1–1 |
| 2025-07-20 | FC Dallas vs Saint Louis City | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Saint Louis City vs FC Dallas?
- Tofiko's model favours Saint Louis City (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Saint Louis City vs FC Dallas kick off?
- Sun, 30 Aug 2026 23:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Saint Louis City vs FC Dallas head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.