Saint Louis Cityvs
FC DallasSaint Louis City 3-3 FC Dallas — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 30 Aug 2026 23:10 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Saint Louis City46%
- Saint Louis City 46%
- Draw 23%
- FC Dallas 31%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Saint Louis City, rating it at 45.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Saint Louis City won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Dallas's last 5 produced 28 goals — 5.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Saint Louis City's 5 produced 19, at 3.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- FC Dallas's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Saint Louis City: DWDWD
FC Dallas: WWDLW
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Saint Louis City vs FC Dallas | 3–3 |
| 2026-04-10 | FC Dallas vs Saint Louis City | 0–0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Saint Louis City vs FC Dallas | 1–1 |
| 2025-07-20 | FC Dallas vs Saint Louis City | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Saint Louis City vs FC Dallas?
- Tofiko's model favours Saint Louis City (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Saint Louis City vs FC Dallas kick off?
- Sun, 30 Aug 2026 23:10 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Saint Louis City vs FC Dallas head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 3 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.