Saint Louis City crestSaint Louis CityvsFC Dallas crestFC Dallas

Saint Louis City 3-3 FC Dallas — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSun, 30 Aug 2026 23:10 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Saint Louis City46%

Tofiko46% / 23% / 31%
Market46% / 25% / 29%
  • Saint Louis City
  • Draw
  • FC Dallas

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Saint Louis City, rating it at 45.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Saint Louis City won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Saint Louis City's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 3 Oct 2026.

Saint Louis City: WWWWD

FC Dallas: WDWWW

Head-to-head

As of 3 Oct 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.75Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-30Saint Louis City vs FC Dallas3–3
2026-04-10FC Dallas vs Saint Louis City0–0
2025-09-07Saint Louis City vs FC Dallas1–1
2025-07-20FC Dallas vs Saint Louis City3–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Saint Louis City vs FC Dallas?
Tofiko's model favours Saint Louis City (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Saint Louis City vs FC Dallas kick off?
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 23:10 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Saint Louis City vs FC Dallas head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 3 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legFC Dallas 0-0 St. Louis City10 Apr 2026 →