Houston Dynamovs
Austin FCHouston Dynamo vs Austin FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 26 Jul 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Houston Dynamo 3–0 Austin FC
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Houston Dynamo49%
- Houston Dynamo 49%
- Draw 26%
- Austin FC 25%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Houston Dynamo, rating it at 49.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Houston Dynamo won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Houston Dynamo: WDWWD
Austin FC: LWLLL
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Houston Dynamo vs Austin FC | 3–0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Austin FC vs Houston Dynamo | 2–0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Austin FC vs Houston Dynamo | 2–2 |
| 2025-04-27 | Houston Dynamo vs Austin FC | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Houston Dynamo vs Austin FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Houston Dynamo (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Houston Dynamo vs Austin FC kick off?
- Sun, 26 Jul 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Houston Dynamo vs Austin FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.