Austin FC 2-2 Houston Dynamo — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 10 Aug 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Austin FC44%
- Austin FC 44%
- Draw 27%
- Houston Dynamo 29%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Austin FC, rating it at 44.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Austin FC won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
Austin FC: DDWLD
Houston Dynamo: WDDLW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Houston Dynamo vs Austin FC | 3–0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Austin FC vs Houston Dynamo | 2–0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Austin FC vs Houston Dynamo | 2–2 |
| 2025-04-27 | Houston Dynamo vs Austin FC | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Austin FC vs Houston Dynamo?
- Tofiko's model favours Austin FC (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Austin FC vs Houston Dynamo kick off?
- Sun, 10 Aug 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Austin FC vs Houston Dynamo head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.