Houston Dynamo 1-3 CF Montreal — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 15 Jun 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Houston Dynamo50%
- Houston Dynamo 50%
- Draw 25%
- CF Montreal 25%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Houston Dynamo, rating it at 50.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Houston Dynamo did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Houston Dynamo: LWWWW
CF Montreal: DWDDL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-15 | Houston Dynamo vs CF Montreal | 1–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Houston Dynamo vs CF Montreal?
- Tofiko's model favours Houston Dynamo (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Houston Dynamo vs CF Montreal kick off?
- Sun, 15 Jun 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Houston Dynamo vs CF Montreal head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.