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Houston Dynamo crestHouston DynamovsInter Miami CF crestInter Miami CF

Houston Dynamo 1-4 Inter Miami CF — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Mon, 03 Mar 2025 00:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Inter Miami CF53%

  • Houston Dynamo 27%
  • Draw 20%
  • Inter Miami CF 53%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Inter Miami CF, rating it at 52.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Houston Dynamo did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Inter Miami CF's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Houston Dynamo's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 20.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Inter Miami CF's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 24 Aug 2026.

Houston Dynamo: LWWWW

Inter Miami CF: LDLLL

Head-to-head

As of 24 Aug 2026.

  • 1Games
  • 5.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-03-03Houston Dynamo vs Inter Miami CF1–4

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FAQ

Who will win Houston Dynamo vs Inter Miami CF?
Tofiko's model favours Inter Miami CF (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Houston Dynamo vs Inter Miami CF kick off?
Mon, 03 Mar 2025 00:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the Houston Dynamo vs Inter Miami CF head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.

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