Los Angeles FCvs
Houston DynamoLos Angeles FC 2-0 Houston Dynamo — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 04 May 2025 02:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Los Angeles FC64%
- Los Angeles FC 64%
- Draw 21%
- Houston Dynamo 15%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Los Angeles FC, rating it at 64.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Los Angeles FC won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 64.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 20.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Los Angeles FC: DLLDW
Houston Dynamo: LWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo | 1–4 |
| 2025-05-04 | Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo | 2–0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles FC | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo?
- Tofiko's model favours Los Angeles FC (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo kick off?
- Sun, 04 May 2025 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.