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Houston Dynamo crestHouston DynamovsLos Angeles Galaxy crestLos Angeles Galaxy

Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerSun, 16 Aug 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Houston Dynamo49%

Houston Dynamo 49%
Draw 24%
Los Angeles Galaxy 27%
  • Houston Dynamo 49%
  • Draw 24%
  • Los Angeles Galaxy 27%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Houston Dynamo, rating it at 49.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Houston Dynamo won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Houston Dynamo: WDWWD

Los Angeles Galaxy: DLLWL

Head-to-head

  • 3Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-24Los Angeles Galaxy vs Houston Dynamo1–1
2025-09-07Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy1–1
2025-04-13Los Angeles Galaxy vs Houston Dynamo1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Tofiko's model favours Houston Dynamo (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy kick off?
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 3 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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