Houston Dynamo 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 16 Aug 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Houston Dynamo52%
- Houston Dynamo 52%
- Draw 23%
- Los Angeles Galaxy 25%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Houston Dynamo, rating it at 52.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Houston Dynamo won 1 of 4, with 3 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Houston Dynamo: WWWWW
Los Angeles Galaxy: DWLDD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 4Games
- 1.75Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 1–0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Los Angeles Galaxy vs Houston Dynamo | 1–1 |
| 2025-09-07 | Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 1–1 |
| 2025-04-13 | Los Angeles Galaxy vs Houston Dynamo | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
- Tofiko's model favours Houston Dynamo (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy kick off?
- Sun, 16 Aug 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 3 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.