Houston Dynamovs
Philadelphia UnionHouston Dynamo 1-1 Philadelphia Union — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 20 Jul 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union50%
- Houston Dynamo 25%
- Draw 25%
- Philadelphia Union 50%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 50.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Houston Dynamo did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Philadelphia Union's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Houston Dynamo's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Houston Dynamo: LWWWW
Philadelphia Union: DDWLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-20 | Houston Dynamo vs Philadelphia Union | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Houston Dynamo vs Philadelphia Union?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Houston Dynamo vs Philadelphia Union kick off?
- Sun, 20 Jul 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Houston Dynamo vs Philadelphia Union head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.