Houston Dynamo crestHouston DynamovsPhiladelphia Union crestPhiladelphia Union

Houston Dynamo 1-1 Philadelphia Union — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 20 Jul 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Philadelphia Union50%

Tofiko25% / 25% / 50%
  • Houston Dynamo
  • Draw
  • Philadelphia Union

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 50.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Houston Dynamo did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Philadelphia Union's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Houston Dynamo's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
  • Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 4 Oct 2026.

Houston Dynamo: LDLWD

Philadelphia Union: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 4 Oct 2026.

  • 1Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-07-20Houston Dynamo vs Philadelphia Union1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Houston Dynamo vs Philadelphia Union?
Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Houston Dynamo vs Philadelphia Union kick off?
Sun, 20 Jul 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the Houston Dynamo vs Philadelphia Union head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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