Houston Dynamovs
San Jose EarthquakesHouston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 30 Aug 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Houston Dynamo42%
- Houston Dynamo 42%
- Draw 23%
- San Jose Earthquakes 35%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Houston Dynamo, rating it at 42.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Houston Dynamo won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. San Jose Earthquakes's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Houston Dynamo's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Houston Dynamo: WWWWW
San Jose Earthquakes: LLLDL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 2Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-24 | Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes | 1–2 |
| 2025-05-25 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo | 3–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Tofiko's model favours Houston Dynamo (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
- Sun, 30 Aug 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.