Houston Dynamo crestHouston DynamovsSan Jose Earthquakes crestSan Jose Earthquakes

Houston Dynamo 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSun, 30 Aug 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Houston Dynamo60%

  • Houston Dynamo 60%
  • Draw 22%
  • San Jose Earthquakes 18%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Houston Dynamo, rating it at 60.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Houston Dynamo won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 60.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 11 Sep 2026.

Houston Dynamo: WDDLW

San Jose Earthquakes: WDDLL

Head-to-head

As of 11 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-30Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes0–0
2025-08-24Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes1–2
2025-05-25San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo3–3

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FAQ

Who will win Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Tofiko's model favours Houston Dynamo (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureSan Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo13 Sept 2026 →