San Jose Earthquakesvs
Houston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 13 Sep 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Houston Dynamo40%
- San Jose Earthquakes 35%
- Draw 25%
- Houston Dynamo 40%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Houston Dynamo, rating it at 40.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and San Jose Earthquakes won 1 of 3, with 2 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
San Jose Earthquakes: WDDLL
Houston Dynamo: WDDLW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes | 0–0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes | 1–2 |
| 2025-05-25 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo | 3–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo?
- Tofiko's model favours Houston Dynamo (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo kick off?
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.