Houston Dynamovs
Seattle Sounders FCHouston Dynamo 1-3 Seattle Sounders FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 11 May 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Seattle Sounders FC44%
- Houston Dynamo 32%
- Draw 24%
- Seattle Sounders FC 44%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Seattle Sounders FC, rating it at 43.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Houston Dynamo won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
Houston Dynamo: WDDLW
Seattle Sounders FC: DDDLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-11 | Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders FC | 1–3 |
| 2025-03-23 | Seattle Sounders FC vs Houston Dynamo | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Seattle Sounders FC (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders FC kick off?
- Sun, 11 May 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.