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Sporting Kansas City crestSporting Kansas CityvsHouston Dynamo crestHouston Dynamo

Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerSun, 02 Aug 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Houston Dynamo43%

Sporting Kansas City 33%
Draw 24%
Houston Dynamo 43%
  • Sporting Kansas City 33%
  • Draw 24%
  • Houston Dynamo 43%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Houston Dynamo, rating it at 43.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Sporting Kansas City won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Sporting Kansas City: LWLLW

Houston Dynamo: WDWWD

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-10-19Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo0–0
2025-06-01Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City1–3

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FAQ

Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo?
Tofiko's model favours Houston Dynamo (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo kick off?
Sun, 02 Aug 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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