Sporting Kansas Cityvs
Houston DynamoSporting Kansas City 0-2 Houston Dynamo — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 02 Aug 2026 00:40 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Houston Dynamo43%
- Sporting Kansas City 33%
- Draw 24%
- Houston Dynamo 43%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Houston Dynamo, rating it at 43.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Sporting Kansas City won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Sporting Kansas City's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Houston Dynamo's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Sporting Kansas City: LLLDL
Houston Dynamo: WDDLW
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo | 0–2 |
| 2025-10-19 | Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo | 0–0 |
| 2025-06-01 | Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City | 1–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo?
- Tofiko's model favours Houston Dynamo (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo kick off?
- Sun, 02 Aug 2026 00:40 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.