Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 02 Aug 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Houston Dynamo43%
- Sporting Kansas City 33%
- Draw 24%
- Houston Dynamo 43%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Houston Dynamo, rating it at 43.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Sporting Kansas City won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Sporting Kansas City: LWLLW
Houston Dynamo: WDWWD
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-19 | Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo | 0–0 |
| 2025-06-01 | Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City | 1–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo?
- Tofiko's model favours Houston Dynamo (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo kick off?
- Sun, 02 Aug 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.