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Houston Dynamo 0-3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Thu, 17 Jul 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Vancouver Whitecaps FC51%

  • Houston Dynamo 26%
  • Draw 23%
  • Vancouver Whitecaps FC 51%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Vancouver Whitecaps FC, rating it at 51.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Houston Dynamo won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Vancouver Whitecaps FC's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Houston Dynamo's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

The model puts the draw at 22.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 11 Sep 2026.

Houston Dynamo: WDDLW

Vancouver Whitecaps FC: WLDWW

Head-to-head

As of 11 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 1.75Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-20Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs Houston Dynamo0–1
2026-05-17Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC1–0
2025-08-18Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs Houston Dynamo1–1
2025-07-17Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC0–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC?
Tofiko's model favours Vancouver Whitecaps FC (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC kick off?
Thu, 17 Jul 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legVancouver Whitecaps 0-1 Houston Dynamo20 Aug 2026 →