Houston Dynamo 0-3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Thu, 17 Jul 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Vancouver Whitecaps FC51%
- Houston Dynamo 26%
- Draw 23%
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC 51%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Vancouver Whitecaps FC, rating it at 51.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Houston Dynamo won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Vancouver Whitecaps FC's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Houston Dynamo's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Houston Dynamo: WDDLW
Vancouver Whitecaps FC: WLDWW
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 1.75Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs Houston Dynamo | 0–1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-18 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs Houston Dynamo | 1–1 |
| 2025-07-17 | Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 0–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Vancouver Whitecaps FC (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC kick off?
- Thu, 17 Jul 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Houston Dynamo vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.