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Los Angeles FC crestLos Angeles FCvsPortland Timbers crestPortland Timbers

Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerSun, 23 Aug 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Los Angeles FC56%

Los Angeles FC 56%
Draw 23%
Portland Timbers 21%
  • Los Angeles FC 56%
  • Draw 23%
  • Portland Timbers 21%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Los Angeles FC, rating it at 56.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Los Angeles FC won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 56.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Los Angeles FC: WWWWW

Portland Timbers: WDWLL

Head-to-head

  • 3Games
  • 3.33Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-11Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles FC2–1
2025-07-26Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers0–1
2025-04-20Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles FC3–3

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FAQ

Who will win Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers?
Tofiko's model favours Los Angeles FC (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers kick off?
Sun, 23 Aug 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.

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