Los Angeles FCvs
Portland TimbersLos Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 23 Aug 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Los Angeles FC58%
- Los Angeles FC 58%
- Draw 21%
- Portland Timbers 22%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Los Angeles FC, rating it at 57.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Los Angeles FC won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Portland Timbers's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Los Angeles FC's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Portland Timbers's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 22 Aug 2026.
Los Angeles FC: LLDWD
Portland Timbers: WLWLW
Head-to-head
As of 22 Aug 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-07-26 | Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers | 0–1 |
| 2025-04-20 | Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles FC | 3–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers?
- Tofiko's model favours Los Angeles FC (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers kick off?
- Sun, 23 Aug 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.