Portland Timbersvs
Los Angeles FCPortland Timbers 2-1 Los Angeles FC — Result, H2H & Form
USA MLSSat, 11 Apr 2026 20:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Los Angeles FC45%
- Portland Timbers 30%
- Draw 25%
- Los Angeles FC 45%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Los Angeles FC, rating it at 45.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Portland Timbers won 2 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Portland Timbers's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Los Angeles FC's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Portland Timbers's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Portland Timbers: DWLDW
Los Angeles FC: WDDDL
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers | 1–1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-07-26 | Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers | 0–1 |
| 2025-04-20 | Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles FC | 3–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Los Angeles FC (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles FC kick off?
- Sat, 11 Apr 2026 20:45 GMT — USA MLS.
- What is the Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.