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Los Angeles FC crestLos Angeles FCvsSan Diego FC crestSan Diego FC

Los Angeles FC vs San Diego FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerSun, 16 Aug 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Los Angeles FC46%

Los Angeles FC 46%
Draw 23%
San Diego FC 31%
  • Los Angeles FC 46%
  • Draw 23%
  • San Diego FC 31%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Los Angeles FC, rating it at 46.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Los Angeles FC won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Los Angeles FC: WWWWW

San Diego FC: WLLDW

Head-to-head

  • 3Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-03San Diego FC vs Los Angeles FC2–2
2025-09-01Los Angeles FC vs San Diego FC1–2
2025-03-30San Diego FC vs Los Angeles FC3–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Los Angeles FC vs San Diego FC?
Tofiko's model favours Los Angeles FC (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Los Angeles FC vs San Diego FC kick off?
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Los Angeles FC vs San Diego FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

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