Los Angeles FCvs
San Diego FCLos Angeles FC 0-1 San Diego FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 16 Aug 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Los Angeles FC50%
- Los Angeles FC 50%
- Draw 23%
- San Diego FC 27%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Los Angeles FC, rating it at 49.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Los Angeles FC won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. San Diego FC's last 5 produced 15 goals — 3.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Los Angeles FC's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Los Angeles FC: LLDWD
San Diego FC: LWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Los Angeles FC vs San Diego FC | 0–1 |
| 2026-05-03 | San Diego FC vs Los Angeles FC | 2–2 |
| 2025-09-01 | Los Angeles FC vs San Diego FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-03-30 | San Diego FC vs Los Angeles FC | 3–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Los Angeles FC vs San Diego FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Los Angeles FC (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Los Angeles FC vs San Diego FC kick off?
- Sun, 16 Aug 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Los Angeles FC vs San Diego FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.